Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Frosinone
Torino 		16.9%
60.7%		22.4%
+453
-139
+420
-150
0.85
1.84		2.69
o2½-104
u2½-108
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for Apr 20, 2024
Games for Apr 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hellas Verona
Atalanta		9.0%
76.6%		14.3%
+623
-214
+575
-210
2
2		-1.60465-1.55946-1.94156
Genoa
Fiorentina		21.6%
54.2%		24.2%
+410
-117
+375
-110
1
1		-1.28374-1.26227-1.41898
Cagliari
Inter		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+1700
-513
+1500
-530
2
2		-2.08901-2.06294-2.35820
Milan
Sassuolo		61.9%
17.5%		20.5%
-113
+345
-125
+325
3
3		-1.38585-1.41679-1.58392
Frosinone
Napoli		8.7%
75.9%		15.4%
+825
-290
+775
-300
2
2		-1.76873-1.75730-1.87087
Juventus
Torino		46.0%
27.1%		26.9%
+130
+287
+130
+270
0
0		-1.12479-1.12488-1.31375
Inter
Udinese		62.7%
16.1%		21.2%
-241
+740
-246
+700
2
1		-0.37452-0.38657-0.46657
Fiorentina
Juventus		16.3%
62.0%		21.6%
+432
-128
+433
-125
0
1		-0.60261-0.61234-0.47754
Genoa
Hellas Verona		31.0%
41.7%		27.3%
+207
+172
+210
+165
2
1		-1.15021-1.17183-1.17063
Atalanta
Cagliari		68.6%
13.3%		18.1%
-127
+386
-130
+377
1
2		-1.60505-1.59969-2.01869
Bologna
Frosinone		34.9%
37.1%		28.0%
-107
+333
-110
+320
0
0		-1.30626-1.29931-1.27300
Torino
Empoli		40.0%
32.6%		27.5%
+121
+280
+120
+265
2
3		-1.36180-1.34458-1.12236
Lazio
Roma		23.0%
53.4%		23.6%
+295
+114
+279
+115
0
1		-0.78856-0.80609-0.62807
Empoli
Inter		4.1%
86.3%		9.6%
+1650
-546
+1500
-590
0
2		-0.19146-0.20373-0.14765
Roma
Lecce		54.7%
21.9%		23.4%
+124
+300
+115
+320
0
0		-1.16552-1.15687-1.45192
Udinese
Sassuolo		35.6%
37.8%		26.6%
+168
+187
+165
+190
1
1		-1.22881-1.19726-1.32520
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.