Cubs at Guardians

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
46.7%53.3%
Cubs WinGuardians Win
4.89Projected Runs 5.24
7Final Score 1

Cleveland Guardians

(13-6)
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank15
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.820.545

Adam Plutko (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-02.570.857

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 2-13 at Kansas City RoyalsCHC: Tyler Chatwood • KCR: Brad Keller-165
W 6-1 at Kansas City RoyalsCHC: Yu Darvish • KCR: Kris Bubic-192
W 4-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-210
W 0-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Danny Duffy • CHC: Alec Mills-144
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Steven Brault • CHC: Jon Lester-180
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 5-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Shane Bieber • CHW: Lucas Giolito-152
W 7-1 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Matt Foster-128
L 0-2 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Aaron Civale • CHW: Dylan Cease-130
W 0-13 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-112
W 0-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CLE: Mike Clevinger-162

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BDaniel Descalso45-day IL
  • PJames Norwood10-day IL
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PMike ClevingerOut
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • LFJake BauersRest
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PZach PlesacOut
WNW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°81°79°78°
Humidity65%68%72%73%
Precipitation3%3%3%2%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 4 mphWNW 3 mphNNW 3 mphNNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+128-114-111-109-109-111-109-
Guardians-138-106+101-101-101+101+101-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+130-107-110-105-105-108-105-
Guardians-140-103+100-105-105-102+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -103 to -109
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -105
Guardians ML moved from +101 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-160-1½+140-1½+139-1½+140-1½+140-1½+139-1½+140-
Guardians-1½+140+1½-160+1½-159+1½-160+1½-160+1½-159+1½-159-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-160-1½+150-1½+144-1½+150+1½-200-1½+150-
Guardians-1½+140+1½-170+1½-163+1½-170-1½+170+1½-170-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o9-125o9-123o9-120o9-120o9-123o9-120-
Underu8+100u9+105u9+103u9+100u9+100u9+103u9+105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-115-
Underu8-105u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
No Steam Moves On Under
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