MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
41.9%
58.1%
+152
-158
+143
-155
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
0
-0.93344-0.90708-0.87048
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
38.4%
61.6%
+158
-168
+160
-168
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
2
-0.96215-0.96693-0.95782
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.3%
57.7%
+145
-151
+142
-150
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-0.90580-0.89690-0.86017
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
54.7%
45.3%
-147
+139
-150
+141
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-110
10
4
-0.53242-0.52565-0.60261
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
38.2%
61.8%
+157
-167
+159
-170
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
0
-0.95836-0.96727-0.96330
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
64.4%
35.6%
-242
+225
-250
+221
-1½-148
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
13
1
-0.36106-0.36196-0.44052
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
37.5%
62.5%
+129
-136
+131
-142
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+153
7
6
-0.84142-0.85675-0.97998
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
47.2%
52.8%
-101
-106
+102
-101

+1½-200
-1½+180
3
2
-0.70508-0.70064-0.75033
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
34.7%
65.3%
+185
-200
+190
-200
+1½-116
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
6
4
-1.06470-1.07614-1.05973
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.6%
64.4%
+167
-170
+160
-165
+1½-127
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
7
3
-0.98623-0.96273-1.03215
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
42.1%
57.9%
+136
-143
+135
-140
+1½-162
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
6
-0.54235-0.54782-0.54714
Minnesota Twins
Seattle Mariners
44.9%
55.1%
+118
-124
+120
-125
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+183
1
2
-0.60358-0.59784-0.59689
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
34.5%
65.5%
+201
-214
+200
-215
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-110
1
3
-0.39708-0.39768-0.42349
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
41.0%
59.0%
+142
-151
+141
-154
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
3
7
-0.52288-0.52140-0.52777
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
42.2%
57.8%
+146
-156
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+136
0
1
-0.51108-0.50078-0.54806
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
44.2%
55.8%
+146
-154
+143
-155
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
1
0
-0.91290-0.90708-0.81672
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.