MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
60.4%
39.6%
-159
+150
-160
+150
-1½+100
+1½-103
-1½-105
+1½-110
7
8
-0.93009-0.93156-0.92611
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.5%
48.5%
-110
+102
-111
+103
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
7
1
-0.66532-0.66083-0.66400
New York Mets
New York Yankees
40.9%
59.1%
+149
-159
+159
-160
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+125
2
8
-0.50332-0.48700-0.52658
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+200
-212
+205
-220
+1½+107
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
6
4
-1.11136-1.13038-1.07737
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
42.5%
57.5%
+138
-137
+129
-138
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+158
6
1
-0.86531-0.84492-0.85552
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
24.6%
75.4%
+250
-275
+260
-290
+1½+130
-1½-143
+1½+135
-1½-150
0
1
-0.32902-0.31741-0.28207
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
39.2%
60.8%
+136
-145
+135
-148
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+145
2
3
-0.53996-0.53828-0.49743
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
28.3%
71.7%
+225
-245
+230
-245
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-113
2
6
-0.35997-0.35538-0.33247
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
50.0%
50.0%
-112
+105
-113
+107


1
2
-0.73382-0.74108-0.69299
Minnesota Twins
Milwaukee Brewers
45.1%
54.9%
+127
-133
+129
-135
+1½-168
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
5
-0.57197-0.56539-0.59971
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
60.8%
39.2%
-154
+144
-156
+145
-1½+105
+1½-108
-1½+105
+1½-120
1
5
-0.90800-0.91349-0.93634
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-126
+118
-128
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
3
-0.60245-0.59724-0.62646
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
49.2%
50.8%
+116
-120
+112
-118
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
2
-0.77849-0.76430-0.70926
Atlanta Braves
Boston Red Sox
53.6%
46.4%
-118
+110
-115
+113
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-145
10
4
-0.63113-0.63006-0.62288
Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles
34.9%
65.1%
+164
-174
+167
-175
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+105
10
4
-0.98452-0.99290-1.05372
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
44.6%
55.4%
-105
+100
-105
-101
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
1
-0.70528-0.70275-0.59019
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.