MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
50.2%
49.8%
-110
+104
-108
+105
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-162
3
2
-0.66054-0.66240-0.68826
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
49.7%
50.3%
+134
-125
+129
-138
+1½-160
-1½+165
+1½-160
-1½+145
8
6
-0.83292-0.84492-0.69991
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
45.1%
54.9%
-110
+102
-107
+102
-1½+155
+1½-163

8
7
-0.66532-0.67178-0.79536
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
43.8%
56.2%
+123
-120
+113
-118
+1½-183
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
9
5
-0.79587-0.76684-0.82563
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
38.0%
62.0%
+165
-175
+160
-172
+1½-132
-1½+122
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
2
-0.46561-0.47514-0.47739
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+113
-119
+112
-110
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
3
-0.76891-0.74691-0.63781
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.1%
66.9%
+178
-188
+181
-190
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
11
1
-1.03488-1.04418-1.10561
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
46.4%
53.6%
-110
+103
-109
+102
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
6
10
-0.72433-0.71953-0.62302
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
34.5%
65.5%
+190
-200
+200
-210
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
4
6
-0.41690-0.40015-0.42246
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
52.5%
47.5%
-140
+134
-146
+135
-1½+122
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
1
2
-0.86079-0.87328-0.74495
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
31.0%
69.0%
+185
-198
+186
-200
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-105
5
1
-1.06250-1.06700-1.17092
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
46.3%
53.7%
+120
-129
+122
-130
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
2
-0.59162-0.58609-0.62200
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
33.4%
66.6%
+199
-215
+205
-225
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-110
1
4
-0.39878-0.38769-0.40708
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
32.9%
67.1%
+222
-245
+230
-250
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-120
4
5
-0.36278-0.35364-0.39952
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
26.2%
73.8%
+189
-200
+196
-210
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½+100
-1½-105
2
5
-0.41806-0.40461-0.30414
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
32.2%
67.8%
+212
-225
+210
-235
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-120
1
2
-0.38046-0.37834-0.38920
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.