MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.8%
49.2%
-112
+107
-110
+110
-1½+142
+1½-155
+1½-215
-1½+200
8
1
-0.64942-0.64663-0.67664
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
57.7%
42.3%
-138
+129
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
7
3
-0.56140-0.55953-0.54997
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
54.6%
45.4%
-145
+135
-143
+133
-1½+107
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-115
12
2
-0.54173-0.54771-0.60429
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
77.5%
22.5%
-300
+265
-304
+280
-1½-202
+1½+180
-1½-190
+1½+190
3
9
-1.31841-1.35050-1.49375
Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays
40.7%
59.3%
+119
-127
+126
-128
+1½-158
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.79986-0.81923-0.89938
Cincinnati Reds
Houston Astros
43.9%
56.1%
+128
-137
+132
-141
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
6
-0.56460-0.55199-0.57739
Miami Marlins
Chicago White Sox
50.4%
49.6%
-129
+120
-132
+123
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-142
2
4
-0.80616-0.81925-0.70041
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
46.8%
53.2%
+143
-151
+145
-158
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
6
7
-0.52120-0.51073-0.63055
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
43.3%
56.7%
+121
-129
+122
-130
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
1
-0.80867-0.81306-0.83681
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
46.9%
53.1%
+104
-113
+110
-115

+1½-200
-1½+185
6
1
-0.73345-0.75294-0.75653
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
67.6%
32.4%
-215
+203
-220
+208
-1½-133
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
3
4
-1.12107-1.13703-1.12578
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
48.4%
51.6%
+125
-133
+126
-135
+1½-168
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+155
6
1
-0.82608-0.83218-0.72484
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
50.9%
49.1%
+113
-123
+117
-120
+1½-168
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
6
-0.61582-0.61240-0.71192
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
46.3%
53.7%
+122
-128
+125
-131
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
6
3
-0.80930-0.82241-0.76975
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
57.2%
42.8%
-130
+129
-137
+130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
2
5
-0.83046-0.84567-0.84791
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
66.8%
33.2%
-234
+215
-240
+220
-1½-152
+1½+142
-1½-160
+1½+155
21
0
-0.37372-0.36652-0.40386
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.