MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
44.6%
55.4%
+143
-153
+150
-157
+1½-148
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
2
-0.90402-0.92712-0.80815
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.6%
55.4%
-117
+109
-113
+111
-1½+142
+1½-155

1
9
-0.75464-0.75114-0.59023
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.3%
51.7%
+111
-120
+114
-120
+1½-185
-1½+169
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
3
-0.76589-0.77347-0.72799
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
41.6%
58.4%
+141
-149
+143
-152
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
7
1
-0.89287-0.90249-0.87628
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
64.7%
35.3%
-143
+138
-145
+139
-1½+123
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-125
6
4
-0.53883-0.53471-0.43530
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
47.1%
52.9%
-106
-101
-105
-103
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+146
+1½-165
4
3
-0.68136-0.68844-0.75220
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
49.2%
50.8%
-101
-103
-103
+102

-1½+148
+1½-165
6
7
-0.68830-0.70552-0.67690
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
41.2%
58.8%
+146
-156
+150
-156
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
0
-0.91592-0.92563-0.88734
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
30.3%
69.7%
+225
-241
+220
-240
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
7
-0.36141-0.36652-0.36136
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+100
-107
+105
-104

+1½-185
-1½+180
9
1
-0.70991-0.71545-0.86526
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.0%
34.0%
-168
+163
-160
+160
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-106
3
4
-0.97405-0.95550-1.07784
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
54.0%
46.0%
+110
-118
+111
-115
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
5
-0.63113-0.63448-0.77586
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
51.2%
48.8%
-107
-102
+102
+100

-1½+167
+1½-175
2
4
-0.70492-0.68818-0.71764
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
44.5%
55.5%
+124
-132
+126
-133
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+157
3
9
-0.57921-0.57389-0.58834
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
39.8%
60.2%
+125
-132
+133
-130
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
5
-0.57725-0.56493-0.50730
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
22.5%
77.5%
+282
-300
+285
-310
+1½+145
-1½-158
+1½+150
-1½-155
7
12
-0.29939-0.29530-0.25471
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.