MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
47.9%
52.1%
-108
+100
-107
-101
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
11
13
-0.71219-0.70739-0.65249
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
39.7%
60.3%
+143
-152
+141
-148
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
5
-0.52014-0.52787-0.50584
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
43.7%
56.3%
+123
-131
+125
-129
+1½-173
-1½+164
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
4
-0.58263-0.58164-0.57437
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
51.4%
48.6%
+104
-108
-101
-108

+1½-200
-1½+180
6
3
-0.72233-0.70966-0.66629
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
44.1%
55.9%
+135
-143
+135
-144
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
6
-0.54412-0.54294-0.58078
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
47.4%
52.6%
+128
-131
+127
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165

2
6
-0.57290-0.57925-0.64249
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
43.8%
56.2%
+185
-197
+182
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
4
6
-0.42460-0.43260-0.57576
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
60.6%
39.4%
-126
+121
-126
+122
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
8
0
-0.59423-0.59220-0.50119
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
44.3%
55.7%
+113
-119
+114
-122
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
11
7
-0.76891-0.77751-0.81482
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
45.3%
54.7%
+131
-139
+130
-138
+1½-168
-1½+162
+1½-174
-1½+160
0
1
-0.55638-0.55953-0.60318
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
62.4%
37.6%
-142
+136
-148
+140
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+108
+1½-120
6
4
-0.54356-0.52957-0.47239
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.2%
69.8%
+265
-300
+280
-300
+1½+132
-1½-145
+1½+140
-1½-152
7
8
-0.31137-0.30075-0.35974
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
-128
+119
-122
+128
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-135
1
3
-0.80176-0.81225-0.66522
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
61.6%
38.4%
-152
+145
-152
+142
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
3
1
-0.51683-0.52182-0.48452
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
40.0%
60.0%
+141
-148
+135
-149
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
4
-0.52787-0.53715-0.51044
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+122
-129
+124
-128
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
0
-0.81119-0.81428-0.79531
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.