MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
57.4%
42.6%
-152
+143
-155
+141
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-125
12
3
-0.52014-0.52037-0.55497
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
53.6%
46.4%
-113
+105
-112
+160
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-105
3
6
-0.73601-0.86439-0.76679
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+235
-250
+242
-260
+1½+112
-1½-123
+1½+120
-1½-125
2
4
-0.34919-0.33994-0.45180
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.9%
57.1%
+115
-123
+118
-126
+1½-173
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
4
-0.78202-0.79542-0.84572
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
44.1%
55.9%
+134
-143
+135
-144
+1½-157
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+140
6
3
-0.86586-0.86998-0.81964
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
42.5%
57.5%
+143
-153
+150
-157
+1½-142
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
4
6
-0.51909-0.50367-0.55339
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
50.7%
49.3%
-108
-101
-107
-103
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
4
8
-0.70966-0.70249-0.70729
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
60.3%
39.7%
-154
+148
-158
+147
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-115
10
4
-0.50986-0.50748-0.50663
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
41.8%
58.2%
+111
-118
+117
-118
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+185
3
0
-0.76179-0.77683-0.87218
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
22.3%
77.7%
+320
-360
+330
-360
+1½+150
-1½-163
+1½+155
-1½-160
3
5
-0.26562-0.26017-0.25179
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
42.0%
58.0%
+130
-132
+132
-138
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
10
-0.56768-0.55582-0.54426
Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals
50.4%
49.6%
-107
+102
-102
-102
-1½+157
+1½-172

3
8
-0.71498-0.69315-0.70191
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
53.7%
46.3%
-159
+151
-162
+155
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
9
1
-0.50017-0.49117-0.62248
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
45.6%
54.4%
+104
-109
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+182
+1½-190
-1½+180
5
1
-0.72460-0.72940-0.78454
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
48.0%
52.0%
-116
+109
-113
+107
-1½+147
+1½-156
-1½+145
+1½-160
8
4
-0.63707-0.64741-0.73441
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
48.3%
51.7%
+106
-115
+108
-113
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-170
-1½+185
1
16
-0.64582-0.64512-0.65902
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.