MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
50.6%
49.4%
+147
-151
+145
-155
+1½-158
-1½+157
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
0
-0.91063-0.91198-0.68063
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.1%
59.9%
+165
-170
+168
-170
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
0
3
-0.46959-0.46537-0.51208
New York Mets
Oakland Athletics
52.4%
47.6%
-121
+113
-124
+116
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+136
+1½-140
7
6
-0.61923-0.60776-0.64689
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
50.8%
49.2%
-122
+113
-120
+115
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
5
-0.77499-0.77596-0.70913
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
43.8%
56.2%
+138
-141
+136
-148
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
7
0
-0.87232-0.87895-0.82592
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
30.8%
69.2%
+190
-203
+196
-210
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
0
8
-0.41521-0.40461-0.36821
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
53.7%
46.3%
-108
-101
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-160
0
2
-0.70966-0.71219-0.76942
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
50.1%
49.9%
+107
-115
+110
-110
+1½-210
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+180
7
6
-0.74537-0.74194-0.69087
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
35.9%
64.1%
+126
-135
+123
-130
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
3
14
-0.57111-0.58410-0.44530
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
61.3%
38.7%
-150
+150
-155
+145
-1½+115
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
1
11
-0.91629-0.91198-0.94933
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
47.6%
52.4%
+124
-131
+124
-125
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+172
8
1
-0.81991-0.80847-0.74322
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
56.2%
43.8%
-106
+100
-107
+100
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
4
-0.67889-0.67666-0.57609
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays
48.7%
51.3%
+124
-129
+126
-130
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
3
6
-0.58361-0.57821-0.66814
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
41.8%
58.2%
+152
-161
+153
-160
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
3
5
-0.49671-0.49610-0.54108
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
44.0%
56.0%
+115
-120
+110
-117
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+180
0
7
-0.61667-0.63297-0.57930
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
42.2%
57.8%
+127
-136
+128
-133
+1½-167
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+170
2
4
-0.56784-0.57006-0.54775
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.