MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
28.1%
71.9%
+171
-180
+171
-186
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
1
-0.45361-0.44942-0.33046
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
29.3%
70.7%
+242
-265
+240
-260
+1½+113
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-115
5
10
-0.33843-0.34163-0.34740
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
52.1%
47.9%
+153
-161
+153
-163
+1½-142
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
5
-0.49517-0.49333-0.73570
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
56.3%
43.7%
-143
+135
-145
+145
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
4
-0.54412-0.52452-0.57366
Cincinnati Reds
San Francisco Giants
43.1%
56.9%
+148
-157
+155
-157
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
0
-0.92226-0.93912-0.84255
Baltimore Orioles
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.5%
53.5%
+112
-119
+111
-120
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
1
-0.76638-0.76589-0.76501
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
35.8%
64.2%
+144
-153
+145
-158
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51743-0.51073-0.44284
Texas Rangers
Chicago Cubs
48.6%
51.4%
+112
-120
+112
-120
+1½-212
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
0
7
-0.62315-0.62315-0.66470
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
47.8%
52.2%
+102
-110
+106
-107

+1½-200
-1½+205
2
4
-0.66532-0.66223-0.65070
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
29.3%
70.7%
+234
-255
+238
-270
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-130
0
2
-0.34841-0.34035-0.34634
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
41.3%
58.7%
+114
-123
+115
-125
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
6
2
-0.77949-0.78592-0.88397
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
65.9%
34.1%
-170
+160
-172
+163
-1½-115
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+100
4
6
-0.96964-0.97947-1.07561
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.6%
45.4%
-109
+101
-104
+101
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+165
+1½-165
4
8
-0.71701-0.70542-0.78983
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
56.7%
43.3%
-141
+133
-144
+142
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
6
-0.86003-0.88714-0.83760
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
45.2%
54.8%
+113
-115
+115
-116
+1½-173
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
18
-0.63006-0.62385-0.60208
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
54.3%
45.7%
-102
-101
-102
-105
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
2
6
-0.69559-0.68605-0.78290
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.