MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
55.6%
44.4%
-126
+118
-128
+121
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
2
3
-0.79542-0.80679-0.81130
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
59.4%
40.6%
-156
+146
-154
+150
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
4
-0.51108-0.50667-0.52057
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
45.3%
54.7%
+136
-142
+145
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-140
-1½+145
9
10
-0.54356-0.53045-0.60309
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.2%
46.8%
-167
+160
-160
+155
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-115
9
4
-0.47929-0.49303-0.63201
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
54.6%
45.4%
-108
+102
-105
+106
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+150
+1½-155
6
3
-0.66959-0.66668-0.60504
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
43.9%
56.1%
+120
-129
+125
-128
+1½-183
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
5
-0.59162-0.58315-0.57809
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
46.2%
53.8%
+149
-159
+150
-160
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+145
1
3
-0.50332-0.50078-0.61939
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
49.2%
50.8%
+101
-108
+105
-109

+1½-185
-1½+175
9
13
-0.67201-0.66027-0.67757
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
26.6%
73.4%
+208
-225
+215
-224
+1½-108
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-105
4
7
-0.38457-0.37787-0.30889
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
47.5%
52.5%
+105
-114
+106
-113
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
1
-0.65009-0.64972-0.64508
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
49.1%
50.9%
+126
-134
+128
-134
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
7
9
-0.57251-0.56867-0.67468
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
42.6%
57.4%
+128
-134
+126
-135
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
2
-0.83536-0.83218-0.85287
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
48.8%
51.2%
+117
-125
+116
-121
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
8
4
-0.79098-0.78054-0.71805
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
29.2%
70.8%
+186
-195
+190
-200
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
1
3
-0.42459-0.41690-0.34557
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.3%
66.7%
+202
-210
+210
-216
+1½+110
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-116
5
6
-0.39797-0.38657-0.40446
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
42.1%
57.9%
+130
-138
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.84742-0.85583-0.86536
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.