MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
47.8%
52.2%
+108
-113
+110
-119
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
9
5
-0.74360-0.76132-0.73808
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
49.7%
50.3%
-110
+103
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-170
1
5
-0.72433-0.71668-0.68808
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
57.4%
42.6%
-157
+148
-160
+148
-1½+102
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
1
0
-0.50687-0.50395-0.55582
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
35.7%
64.3%
+147
-156
+150
-160
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
9
20
-0.50946-0.50078-0.44133
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.3%
65.7%
+192
-210
+200
-200
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½+110
-1½+100
5
8
-0.40916-0.40546-0.42025
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
39.2%
60.8%
+122
-131
+126
-135
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
0
-0.81491-0.83218-0.93639
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
50.3%
49.7%
+121
-130
+123
-132
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.58810-0.58118-0.69900
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.1%
55.9%
+134
-143
+132
-140
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
8
-0.54592-0.55326-0.58236
New York Mets
Houston Astros
44.0%
56.0%
+101
-110
+105
-112

+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.71924-0.73382-0.82089
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
53.8%
46.2%
-110
+100
-107
-102
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
4
-0.71668-0.70492-0.77280
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
56.9%
43.1%
-126
+121
-126
+125
-1½+130
+1½-143

4
3
-0.59423-0.58621-0.56437
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
53.4%
46.6%
+114
-122
+115
-123
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
8
-0.61535-0.61153-0.76404
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
37.4%
62.6%
+187
-201
+190
-205
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
3
-0.41989-0.41412-0.46785
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
39.7%
60.3%
+152
-162
+158
-160
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+137
2
4
-0.49579-0.48849-0.50650
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.0%
53.0%
+108
-112
+112
-111
+1½-188
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+195
10
6
-0.74139-0.74919-0.75413
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.3%
60.7%
+151
-161
+148
-155
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
5
-0.49827-0.50886-0.49965
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.