MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
42.3%
57.7%
+157
-164
+158
-168
+1½-135
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+125
2
14
-0.48636-0.48138-0.55024
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
31.7%
68.3%
+199
-208
+195
-210
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
3
-0.40229-0.40573-0.38182
Tampa Bay Rays
San Francisco Giants
50.6%
49.4%
+108
-107
+105
-110
+1½-195
-1½+183
+1½-185
-1½+185
7
6
-0.73004-0.72940-0.68049
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.4%
54.6%
+158
-123
+124
-132
+1½-125
-1½+150
+1½-150
-1½+145
2
3
-0.53222-0.57921-0.60561
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
52.5%
47.5%
-104
+102
-102
+102
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
10
-0.70794-0.70310-0.74440
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
61.8%
38.2%
-182
+173
-188
+175
-1½-128
+1½+113
-1½-132
+1½+115
3
4
-1.01592-1.02786-0.96134
New York Yankees
St. Louis Cardinals
54.4%
45.6%
-132
+128
-136
+126
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
3
-0.57146-0.56976-0.60835
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
36.2%
63.8%
+162
-170
+160
-170
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
3
-0.47387-0.47678-0.44948
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
50.6%
49.4%
-118
+115
-124
+119
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
7
0
-0.62019-0.60150-0.68150
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
34.7%
65.3%
+205
-200
+190
-205
+1½+100
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
7
0
-1.10966-1.08152-1.05708
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
36.4%
63.6%
+153
-154
+146
-158
+1½-146
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+140
1
2
-0.50193-0.50909-0.45312
Atlanta Braves
Cleveland Guardians
47.6%
52.4%
+104
-112
+108
-110
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+190
2
0
-0.73126-0.73693-0.74206
Seattle Mariners
New York Mets
48.2%
51.8%
+117
-122
+116
-125
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
9
-0.78504-0.78847-0.73041
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
52.1%
47.9%
-105
-101
-105
+100
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
5
6
-0.70275-0.70528-0.73603
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
60.8%
39.2%
-184
+178
-190
+185
-1½-115
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½+105
6
2
-0.44161-0.42889-0.49807
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
56.9%
43.1%
-130
+127
-130
+124
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
10
8
-0.57627-0.58212-0.56440
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.