MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
32.4%
67.6%
+192
-207
+201
-204
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+105
7
2
-1.08818-1.10521-1.12710
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
42.5%
57.5%
+129
-135
+129
-135
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
2
-0.83965-0.83965-0.85581
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
54.3%
45.7%
-105
-101
-105
-102
-1½+157
+1½-171
-1½+158
+1½-175
10
9
-0.68363-0.68605-0.61101
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
56.6%
43.4%
-154
+145
-150
+148
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-118
2
0
-0.51473-0.51405-0.56921
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
57.4%
42.6%
-126
+121
-127
+120
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-158
5
3
-0.59423-0.59470-0.55450
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
47.2%
52.8%
+125
-133
+124
-128
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
4
-0.82608-0.81428-0.75069
Philadelphia Phillies
Texas Rangers
48.2%
51.8%
+128
-135
+132
-136
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
11
-0.56729-0.55846-0.65834
Detroit Tigers
Tampa Bay Rays
34.7%
65.3%
+215
-225
+201
-215
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
0
4
-0.37745-0.39659-0.42682
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
53.5%
46.5%
-129
+123
-126
+120
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
0
4
-0.81369-0.80044-0.76567
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
42.4%
57.6%
+114
-120
+111
-119
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
10
9
-0.77347-0.76385-0.85847
San Francisco Giants
New York Yankees
37.0%
63.0%
+152
-162
+155
-159
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+145
0
5
-0.49579-0.49397-0.46200
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
69.9%
30.1%
-240
+220
-240
+220
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+125
7
2
-0.36652-0.36652-0.35763
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
44.1%
55.9%
+138
-143
+142
-142
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+162
1
4
-0.53883-0.53311-0.58232
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
58.4%
41.6%
-148
+139
-143
+140
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
3
2
-0.53128-0.53536-0.53779
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
49.8%
50.2%
+102
-107
+100
-106
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+168
+1½-180
5
0
-0.71498-0.70761-0.69800
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
53.4%
46.6%
-120
+113
-120
+114
-1½+145
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
0
7
-0.77096-0.77347-0.76293
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.