MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
59.1%
40.9%
-188
+174
-190
+180
-1½-113
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+102
4
13
-1.02555-1.04185-0.89326
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+205
-227
+205
-220
+1½-111
-1½-103
+1½-112
-1½+100
0
8
-0.38682-0.38995-0.42379
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
48.4%
51.6%
+118
-127
+123
-125
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
4
10
-0.59878-0.59176-0.66082
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
25.7%
74.3%
+346
-390
+334
-365
+1½+160
-1½-177
+1½+165
-1½-170
1
10
-0.24819-0.25737-0.29765
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
40.3%
59.7%
+193
-210
+201
-208
+1½-111
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-103
3
1
-1.09354-1.10945-0.90785
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
35.0%
65.0%
+208
-228
+215
-235
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-107
1
2
-0.38328-0.37333-0.43092
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
43.5%
56.5%
+143
-152
+142
-152
+1½-148
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+131
1
4
-0.52014-0.52182-0.57031
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
35.1%
64.9%
+185
-200
+181
-200
+1½-122
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+105
1
2
-0.42286-0.42776-0.43294
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
40.1%
59.9%
+158
-167
+160
-165
+1½-148
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+133
7
3
-0.96077-0.96273-0.91409
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
41.7%
58.3%
+165
-177
+177
-180
+1½-151
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
1
-0.46409-0.44569-0.53907
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.6%
50.4%
-110
+107
-111
+110
-1½+161
+1½-173
-1½+159
+1½-170
2
5
-0.73443-0.74419-0.68552
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
58.2%
41.8%
-151
+141
-146
+142
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
7
0
-0.52457-0.52841-0.54204
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
44.1%
55.9%
+125
-134
+125
-135
+1½-181
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
6
-0.57442-0.57304-0.58148
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
36.3%
63.7%
+184
-190
+181
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
9
-0.43012-0.43383-0.45165
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
38.5%
61.5%
+155
-163
+156
-163
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+127
2
1
-0.94794-0.95034-0.95555
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
46.8%
53.2%
+144
-154
+147
-152
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+141
1
6
-0.51639-0.51355-0.63025
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.