MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
64.1%
35.9%
-217
+198
-220
+210
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+122
6
3
-0.39891-0.38472-0.44426
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
43.6%
56.4%
+123
-131
+122
-130
+1½-163
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+149
1
0
-0.81742-0.81306-0.82991
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
48.1%
51.9%
+110
-117
+113
-118
+1½-188
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+173
2
1
-0.75717-0.76684-0.73131
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians
43.9%
56.1%
+112
-117
+114
-118
+1½-181
-1½+162
+1½-178
-1½+170
1
3
-0.62854-0.62235-0.57771
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
47.3%
52.7%
+101
-109
+100
-106
+1½-197
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
2
-0.71701-0.70761-0.74904
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
44.0%
56.0%
+127
-135
+128
-136
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+146
6
1
-0.83466-0.83894-0.82037
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
61.2%
38.8%
-185
+171
-176
+175
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
2
3
-1.01492-1.01291-0.94569
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.7%
38.3%
-205
+189
-203
+197
-1½-138
+1½+122
-1½-133
+1½+130
6
0
-0.41529-0.40717-0.48293
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
51.4%
48.6%
-119
+111
-118
+110
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
6
10
-0.76385-0.75927-0.72126
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
32.9%
67.1%
+253
-285
+250
-280
+1½+127
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-135
5
2
-1.28457-1.27508-1.11073
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
42.8%
57.2%
+150
-156
+155
-154
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+135
2
3
-0.50464-0.49883-0.55818
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
66.6%
33.4%
-223
+208
-239
+220
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+125
7
0
-0.38546-0.36690-0.40701
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
45.5%
54.5%
+120
-127
+120
-126
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+150
6
3
-0.80236-0.80044-0.78665
Los Angeles Angels
Cleveland Guardians
47.6%
52.4%
+104
-112
+105
-109
+1½-198
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+185
4
5
-0.65643-0.66027-0.64565
Texas Rangers
Miami Marlins
48.7%
51.3%
+113
-119
+112
-118
+1½-185
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
2
-0.76891-0.76430-0.71945
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
46.2%
53.8%
+104
-112
+109
-108
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+180
4
2
-0.73126-0.73487-0.77115
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.