MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners
53.1%
46.9%
-125
+116
-122
+115
-1½+132
+1½-146
-1½+130
+1½-144
7
8
-0.78847-0.78001-0.75816
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
51.6%
48.4%
-126
+117
-120
+119
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+132
+1½-145
11
2
-0.60245-0.60822-0.66219
Chicago White Sox
Oakland Athletics
55.5%
44.5%
-161
+152
-156
+151
-1½+107
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-124
3
10
-0.93785-0.92803-0.80993
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
43.7%
56.3%
+114
-120
+113
-120
+1½-182
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
10
-0.61880-0.62096-0.57377
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
56.8%
43.2%
-155
+146
-152
+148
-1½-108
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-109
12
6
-0.51208-0.51194-0.56586
Toronto Blue Jays
Texas Rangers
53.4%
46.6%
-111
+106
-115
+107
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
4
-0.73414-0.74537-0.76359
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
49.9%
50.1%
+108
-114
+113
-114
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
0
-0.74575-0.75833-0.69457
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
52.1%
47.9%
-140
+130
-140
+136
-1½+119
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
1
-0.55696-0.54604-0.65179
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
42.8%
57.2%
+147
-157
+147
-150
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+140
0
4
-0.50846-0.51567-0.55916
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
34.9%
65.1%
+237
-263
+250
-260
+1½+112
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-128
4
12
-0.34328-0.33332-0.42972
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
33.1%
66.9%
+243
-272
+245
-260
+1½+117
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-126
6
7
-0.33557-0.33743-0.40199
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
57.5%
42.5%
-137
+127
-136
+129
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
9
3
-0.56650-0.56405-0.55344
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
63.9%
36.1%
-155
+145
-153
+145
-1½+112
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-125
4
3
-0.51371-0.51577-0.44845
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
31.9%
68.1%
+259
-290
+260
-290
+1½+122
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-138
5
7
-0.31817-0.31741-0.38405
Atlanta Braves
Seattle Mariners
57.1%
42.9%
-118
+111
-118
+113
-1½+142
+1½-158
-1½+141
+1½-160
1
3
-0.76179-0.76684-0.84637
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
55.1%
44.9%
-133
+125
-135
+132
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+119
+1½-125
8
4
-0.57583-0.55979-0.59531
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.