MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
47.3%
52.7%
+100
-107
+102
-109
+1½-208
-1½+183
+1½-204
-1½+185
5
7
-0.67666-0.66744-0.64141
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
37.5%
62.5%
+155
-163
+165
-165
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+120
1
7
-0.49027-0.47379-0.47034
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
59.5%
40.5%
-151
+141
-145
+144
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
7
0
-0.52457-0.52619-0.51842
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.5%
45.5%
-128
+121
-125
+124
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-130
18
2
-0.59111-0.58976-0.60770
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
59.2%
40.8%
-179
+172
-185
+178
-1½-116
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+110
2
3
-1.00981-1.03125-0.89551
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
41.7%
58.3%
+184
-201
+187
-200
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
4
-0.42350-0.42045-0.53945
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
45.1%
54.9%
+113
-122
+114
-116
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+171
6
5
-0.77499-0.76512-0.79735
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
29.8%
70.2%
+280
-315
+281
-315
+1½+142
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-150
2
3
-0.29765-0.29698-0.35452
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
-155
+145
-158
+150
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-120
5
3
-0.51371-0.50269-0.53818
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
43.8%
56.2%
+147
-155
+148
-154
+1½-161
-1½+147
+1½-150
-1½+145
1
2
-0.51046-0.50986-0.57698
Chicago Cubs
Toronto Blue Jays
38.2%
61.8%
+200
-216
+198
-210
+1½+101
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-118
7
5
-1.11535-1.10482-0.96265
Oakland Athletics
Washington Nationals
49.9%
50.1%
-106
-102
-105
-101
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+152
+1½-170
1
5
-0.70261-0.70275-0.69211
Tampa Bay Rays
Miami Marlins
55.2%
44.8%
-157
+148
-155
+147
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
1
-0.50687-0.51046-0.59368
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
62.9%
37.1%
-225
+214
-234
+215
-1½-150
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+135
5
3
-0.37844-0.37372-0.46347
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians
41.8%
58.2%
+159
-169
+161
-165
+1½-138
-1½+122
+1½-139
-1½+125
4
0
-0.96590-0.96511-0.87244
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
57.8%
42.2%
-146
+137
-145
+143
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
5
4
-0.53703-0.52787-0.54905
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.