MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
37.2%
62.8%
+219
-235
+225
-230
+1½+105
-1½-117
+1½+110
-1½-118
0
3
-0.36941-0.36566-0.46502
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.3%
53.7%
+104
-110
+106
-110
+1½-202
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+176
11
2
-0.72685-0.73191-0.77042
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
48.4%
51.6%
+123
-131
+125
-131
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-170
-1½+155
6
2
-0.81742-0.82241-0.72569
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
57.1%
42.9%
-192
+179
-196
+186
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+105
1
2
-1.04188-1.06256-0.84527
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
35.4%
64.6%
+250
-270
+250
-280
+1½+125
-1½-137
+1½+135
-1½-145
0
6
-0.33041-0.32768-0.43666
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
54.8%
45.2%
-116
+109
-121
+115
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-150
1
5
-0.75256-0.77801-0.79381
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
42.2%
57.8%
+134
-144
+140
-145
+1½-168
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+160
2
0
-0.86750-0.88394-0.86394
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
49.6%
50.4%
-114
+110
-112
+112
-1½+157
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-170
2
3
-0.75080-0.75141-0.68462
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
66.5%
33.5%
-237
+213
-225
+220
-1½-136
+1½+122
-1½-128
+1½+135
3
2
-0.37452-0.37251-0.40794
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
56.7%
43.3%
-163
+153
-160
+155
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-124
11
4
-0.49333-0.49303-0.56659
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
46.8%
53.2%
+118
-127
+118
-123
+1½-183
-1½+164
+1½-185
-1½+165
0
9
-0.59878-0.60523-0.63186
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago White Sox
42.1%
57.9%
+147
-155
+151
-157
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+133
7
2
-0.91684-0.92953-0.86629
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
63.6%
36.4%
-177
+165
-178
+170
-1½-118
+1½+102
-1½-118
+1½+105
13
5
-0.46409-0.45643-0.45205
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
34.0%
66.0%
+171
-185
+176
-185
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+110
2
0
-1.01492-1.02661-1.07890
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
38.8%
61.2%
+146
-151
+145
-151
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
3
-0.90822-0.90580-0.94613
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
42.2%
57.8%
+145
-155
+150
-156
+1½-143
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+131
6
7
-0.51371-0.50464-0.54884
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.