MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
San Diego Padres
38.1%
61.9%
+126
-135
+128
-137
+1½-163
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
1
-0.83218-0.84070-0.96461
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
47.8%
52.2%
+104
-110
+103
-110
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
6
7
-0.66054-0.66291-0.65028
Arizona Diamondbacks
Kansas City Royals
51.5%
48.5%
-120
+112
-118
+113
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
3
-0.62315-0.62452-0.66382
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
30.3%
69.7%
+241
-269
+250
-260
+1½+125
-1½-133
+1½+125
-1½-130
2
4
-0.33809-0.33332-0.36094
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
54.9%
45.1%
-134
+125
-133
+125
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
9
3
-0.57442-0.57583-0.60019
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
54.7%
45.3%
-130
+124
-130
+125
-1½+127
+1½-141
-1½+125
+1½-135
13
3
-0.58212-0.58016-0.60331
San Francisco Giants
Detroit Tigers
63.8%
36.2%
-208
+190
-210
+197
-1½-123
+1½+107
-1½-125
+1½+115
3
1
-0.41252-0.40348-0.44866
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
40.8%
59.2%
+153
-163
+155
-163
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+133
1
11
-0.49333-0.49027-0.52494
New York Mets
New York Yankees
46.3%
53.7%
+122
-127
+120
-125
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
4
-0.59064-0.59784-0.62137
Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
52.6%
47.4%
-130
+123
-128
+123
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-140
3
5
-0.81556-0.81180-0.74686
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
67.9%
32.1%
-265
+237
-260
+240
-1½-153
+1½+138
-1½-145
+1½+140
6
1
-0.34267-0.34163-0.38749
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
39.4%
60.6%
+185
-197
+189
-200
+1½-118
-1½+103
+1½-115
-1½+102
6
7
-0.42460-0.41806-0.50102
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
59.0%
41.0%
-182
+172
-185
+178
-1½-121
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+110
0
2
-1.01357-1.03125-0.89077
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+233
-259
+230
-245
+1½+125
-1½-133
+1½+115
-1½-120
4
0
-1.22448-1.20701-0.91534
Miami Marlins
Oakland Athletics
57.1%
42.9%
-143
+133
-140
+133
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
3
0
-0.54771-0.55144-0.55953
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
55.8%
44.2%
-161
+151
-162
+159
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-105
1
0
-0.49827-0.48516-0.58284
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.