MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
52.8%
47.2%
-120
+112
-120
+112
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-146
5
6
-0.76841-0.76841-0.74989
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
-157
+148
-155
+148
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-121
3
4
-0.92226-0.91925-0.86363
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
39.2%
60.8%
+172
-180
+175
-181
+1½-118
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+114
5
2
-1.01107-1.01932-0.93700
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
44.8%
55.2%
+129
-138
+136
-142
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+140
8
2
-0.84492-0.86912-0.80267
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.8%
65.2%
+240
-268
+245
-248
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+125
-1½-125
1
2
-0.33923-0.34128-0.42737
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
53.3%
46.7%
-135
+128
-135
+126
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
10
2
-0.56729-0.57111-0.62901
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
34.1%
65.9%
+296
-333
+295
-316
+1½+140
-1½-148
+1½+145
-1½-153
6
3
-1.39756-1.38641-1.07532
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.3%
37.7%
-180
+170
-174
+165
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-112
+1½+100
5
1
-0.45497-0.46639-0.47334
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-153
+143
-150
+144
-1½-102
+1½-113
-1½+102
+1½-110
4
7
-0.90402-0.90177-0.81561
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
48.4%
51.6%
+123
-132
+123
-132
+1½-168
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
2
-0.58118-0.58118-0.66186
Houston Astros
Atlanta Braves
47.2%
52.8%
+113
-122
+115
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
6
-0.61750-0.61667-0.63807
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
41.8%
58.2%
+122
-131
+127
-127
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+165
2
5
-0.58462-0.58077-0.54180
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
37.2%
62.8%
+176
-189
+176
-185
+1½-133
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+120
3
2
-1.03139-1.02661-0.98970
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
54.9%
45.1%
-144
+138
-143
+136
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-136
1
0
-0.53763-0.54235-0.59978
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
48.5%
51.5%
-107
-101
-108
-101
+1½-210
-1½+189
+1½-210
-1½+190
4
0
-0.67911-0.67690-0.72447
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
51.6%
48.4%
-104
-101
-104
-102
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-205
-1½+181
10
15
-0.70039-0.69794-0.72489
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.