MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
41.7%
58.3%
+144
-153
+145
-145
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+145
4
3
-0.90646-0.89610-0.87383
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
58.1%
41.9%
-138
+128
-134
+126
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
6
5
-0.56328-0.57251-0.54321
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
45.6%
54.4%
+117
-124
+119
-127
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
7
-0.60567-0.59673-0.60952
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
44.2%
55.8%
+162
-167
+160
-168
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
8
10
-0.47638-0.47844-0.58381
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
48.0%
52.0%
+122
-129
+123
-128
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+172
4
1
-0.81119-0.81180-0.73428
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
50.4%
49.6%
-129
+120
-122
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
1
6
-0.80616-0.79255-0.70128
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
49.2%
50.8%
-109
+100
-102
+102
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+145
+1½-160
4
8
-0.71445-0.70310-0.67751
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
48.6%
51.4%
+103
-110
+105
-105

-1½+160
+1½-170
5
10
-0.66291-0.66904-0.66458
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
40.5%
59.5%
+155
-165
+152
-162
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
5
1
-0.95078-0.93928-0.90508
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
47.6%
52.4%
+117
-126
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+156
1
3
-0.60245-0.60613-0.64707
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
54.7%
45.3%
-132
+123
-133
+133
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
6
11
-0.81925-0.84588-0.79182
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
49.9%
50.1%
+110
-118
+114
-114
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
5
6
-0.63113-0.62978-0.69187
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
47.2%
52.8%
+104
-113
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+177
12
0
-0.73345-0.73191-0.75167
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.5%
68.5%
+235
-252
+233
-240
+1½+111
-1½-120
+1½+120
-1½-122
9
11
-0.34852-0.35448-0.37847
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.6%
52.4%
+102
-106
+100
-105
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-160
3
2
-0.71266-0.70528-0.74240
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
57.0%
43.0%
-166
+156
-165
+161
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
1
-0.48608-0.47955-0.56152
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.