MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
46.1%
53.9%
+115
-116
+115
-118
+1½-175
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
8
9
-0.62385-0.62019-0.61845
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
62.2%
37.8%
-170
+160
-170
+168
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-120
+1½+110
8
2
-0.47678-0.46537-0.47522
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.5%
63.5%
+154
-162
+161
-165
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+127
1
4
-0.49269-0.47955-0.45396
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
35.2%
64.8%
+170
-180
+184
-183
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½+100
-1½+100
6
2
-1.00641-1.04256-1.04347
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
57.3%
42.7%
-121
+112
-118
+116
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-145
7
8
-0.77044-0.77434-0.85029
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
43.2%
56.8%
+153
-161
+154
-163
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
2
-0.49517-0.49179-0.56481
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
+140
-148
+141
-144
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
1
2
-0.52957-0.53244-0.64198
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+128
-130
+133
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
4
2
-0.56729-0.56493-0.63313
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
38.4%
61.6%
+164
-173
+168
-178
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+112
2
5
-0.46860-0.45917-0.48488
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.0%
49.0%
+104
-110
+103
-109

-1½+160
+1½-175
1
12
-0.66054-0.66503-0.71241
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
42.8%
57.2%
+148
-156
+153
-153
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+125
0
6
-0.50785-0.50296-0.55783
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-136
+138
-145
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+149
3
4
-0.55479-0.53645-0.65318
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.6%
50.4%
-122
+114
-120
+112
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
1
7
-0.77751-0.76841-0.68571
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.7%
57.3%
+158
-168
+160
-163
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-147
-1½+130
5
3
-0.96215-0.95988-0.84982
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
46.0%
54.0%
+152
-158
+152
-155
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+130
4
0
-0.93344-0.92889-0.77664
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
53.5%
46.5%
-144
+136
-138
+135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
0
4
-0.87244-0.85977-0.76503
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.