MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
39.3%
60.7%
+240
-260
+240
-260
+1½+110
-1½-129
+1½+125
-1½-125
5
1
-1.23998-1.23998-0.93443
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
68.1%
31.9%
-255
+235
-250
+232
-1½-160
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+150
1
3
-1.22564-1.21534-1.14119
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
45.8%
54.2%
+117
-123
+122
-123
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-186
-1½+175
10
5
-0.78704-0.79953-0.78108
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
47.2%
52.8%
-108
-101
-106
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
6
4
-0.67690-0.66680-0.75078
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
35.5%
64.5%
+170
-175
+165
-170
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+116
1
2
-0.45869-0.46959-0.43843
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
32.4%
67.6%
+215
-225
+210
-223
+1½+100
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-107
4
10
-0.37745-0.38339-0.39199
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
36.0%
64.0%
+224
-235
+220
-240
+1½+107
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
4
-0.36462-0.36652-0.44613
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
60.8%
39.2%
-146
+136
-146
+146
-1½+115
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
6
8
-0.87575-0.90017-0.93545
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
36.5%
63.5%
+168
-175
+175
-177
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-129
-1½+115
4
5
-0.46143-0.45050-0.45366
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
53.0%
47.0%
-143
+134
-139
+138
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
5
6
-0.86586-0.86886-0.75494
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
43.4%
56.6%
+145
-155
+145
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-146
-1½+135
11
9
-0.91198-0.90421-0.83492
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
57.2%
42.8%
-155
+149
-158
+150
-1½+105
+1½-117
-1½+110
+1½-115
2
7
-0.92168-0.92862-0.84807
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
49.2%
50.8%
-104
-102
-105
-102
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
3
-0.68838-0.68605-0.70952
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
31.4%
68.6%
+224
-235
+224
-230
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
0
9
-0.36462-0.36661-0.37672
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
54.7%
45.3%
-134
+125
-129
+123
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-135
7
3
-0.57442-0.58559-0.60331
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
44.0%
56.0%
+130
-137
+132
-138
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+157
0
2
-0.56084-0.55582-0.57951
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.