MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
65.3%
34.7%
-199
+185
-190
+189
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+125
3
1
-0.42344-0.42405-0.42687
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
50.8%
49.2%
+141
-149
+145
-149
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
11
10
-0.89287-0.90263-0.67674
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
56.4%
43.6%
-114
+106
-113
+108
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-158
5
6
-0.74068-0.74360-0.82949
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
51.2%
48.8%
-147
+143
-138
+139
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+125
+1½-133
8
0
-0.52560-0.54326-0.66924
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
39.3%
60.7%
+132
-138
+134
-140
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+152
4
5
-0.55582-0.54962-0.49865
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
37.9%
62.1%
+173
-181
+170
-184
+1½-119
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
3
7
-0.45023-0.45213-0.47596
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
50.6%
49.4%
+127
-135
+127
-135
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-181
-1½+175
2
4
-0.56920-0.56920-0.70599
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
57.2%
42.8%
-155
+145
-157
+152
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
1
2
-0.91198-0.93194-0.84828
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
40.3%
59.7%
+166
-175
+170
-177
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+115
2
12
-0.46421-0.45719-0.51627
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
37.6%
62.4%
+200
-215
+205
-220
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
6
-0.39768-0.38995-0.47236
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
45.4%
54.6%
+111
-119
+114
-120
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+160
5
6
-0.62712-0.61880-0.60464
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
55.1%
44.9%
-146
+138
-144
+135
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-124
6
4
-0.53529-0.54294-0.59617
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
54.8%
45.2%
-112
+105
-112
+107
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+149
+1½-160
0
6
-0.73382-0.73888-0.79410
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
32.1%
67.9%
+200
-214
+205
-220
+1½-105
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½+100
4
2
-1.11337-1.13038-1.13675
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
50.0%
50.0%
+107
-115
+112
-115

+1½-180
-1½+175
6
5
-0.74537-0.75796-0.69289
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
39.8%
60.2%
+127
-136
+132
-136
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
5
1
-0.83644-0.84884-0.92125
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.