MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
47.1%
52.9%
+122
-128
+125
-132
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+163
3
4
-0.58909-0.57725-0.63592
Colorado Rockies
Washington Nationals
52.6%
47.4%
+103
-109
+102
-107
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-200
-1½+176
3
7
-0.66503-0.67178-0.74689
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
58.8%
41.2%
-114
+105
-113
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-160
7
2
-0.65009-0.65204-0.53050
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
48.3%
51.7%
-109
+100
-106
+102
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
20
-0.71445-0.71266-0.66010
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
42.6%
57.4%
+156
-166
+160
-164
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+115
7
2
-0.95459-0.96131-0.85221
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
45.0%
55.0%
+136
-146
+138
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+141
1
3
-0.53880-0.53645-0.59715
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
40.3%
59.7%
+168
-178
+170
-175
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+114
1
2
-0.45917-0.45869-0.51550
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
45.9%
54.1%
+132
-139
+134
-140
+1½-155
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
4
8
-0.55453-0.54962-0.61443
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
33.4%
66.6%
+141
-148
+146
-149
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-145
-1½+136
0
2
-0.52787-0.51839-0.40633
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
+168
-175
+170
-180
+1½-133
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
5
-0.46143-0.45497-0.47915
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
43.4%
56.6%
+134
-138
+136
-143
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-153
-1½+150
3
4
-0.55217-0.54235-0.56844
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
41.6%
58.4%
+159
-165
+161
-170
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
4
2
-0.96037-0.97204-0.87618
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres
51.0%
49.0%
+126
-134
+133
-135
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-176
-1½+165
2
1
-0.83037-0.84952-0.67385
Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals
69.2%
30.8%
-186
+179
-183
+189
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-121
+1½+130
0
1
-1.03479-1.05389-1.17801
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
45.6%
54.4%
+102
-111
+102
-107
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+180
3
9
-0.66322-0.67178-0.60936
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
38.9%
61.1%
+177
-187
+181
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+108
4
2
-1.03136-1.04418-0.94343
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.