MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
33.0%
67.0%
+210
-230
+205
-220
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
1
5
-0.38037-0.38995-0.40016
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
57.7%
42.3%
-122
+115
-123
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
6
1
-0.61323-0.60732-0.54971
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
-129
+122
-130
+126
-1½+116
+1½-130
-1½+122
+1½-135
5
4
-0.58758-0.57821-0.57702
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
57.0%
43.0%
-145
+137
-145
+136
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-130
4
3
-0.53820-0.53996-0.56159
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
55.0%
45.0%
+104
-110
+104
-111
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
4
-0.72685-0.72909-0.59749
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
44.8%
55.2%
+150
-158
+147
-150
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
5
6
-0.50269-0.51567-0.59506
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
39.6%
60.4%
+141
-148
+146
-147
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-164
-1½+155
2
1
-0.89126-0.90182-0.92672
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
51.4%
48.6%
+123
-128
+124
-130
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+158
7
6
-0.81180-0.81805-0.66625
New York Mets
Colorado Rockies
55.2%
44.8%
-121
+112
-115
+113
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+133
+1½-145
5
1
-0.62140-0.63006-0.59384
Cincinnati Reds
Toronto Blue Jays
27.2%
72.8%
+220
-240
+230
-240
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-124
1
3
-0.36652-0.35718-0.31680
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
32.1%
67.9%
+191
-209
+200
-210
+1½+102
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
5
7
-0.41083-0.40015-0.38756
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
44.3%
55.7%
+112
-120
+116
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+185
8
7
-0.76841-0.77849-0.81428
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
40.9%
59.1%
+169
-179
+169
-179
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+115
4
2
-1.00277-1.00277-0.89365
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
39.2%
60.8%
+152
-162
+155
-163
+1½-135
-1½+126
+1½-130
-1½+130
3
0
-0.93928-0.94794-0.93705
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
61.3%
38.7%
-123
+116
-122
+118
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-140
6
4
-0.60941-0.60690-0.48880
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
35.3%
64.7%
+190
-207
+197
-210
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
0
7
-0.41305-0.40348-0.43488
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.