MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
47.7%
52.3%
-105
-105
-102
-103
+1½-210
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+185
5
2
-0.69315-0.69557-0.74005
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
50.6%
49.4%
-113
+104
-114
+109
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
2
-0.65441-0.64090-0.68128
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
58.1%
41.9%
-142
+136
-143
+136
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-129
2
1
-0.54356-0.54235-0.54240
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
43.4%
56.6%
+154
-162
+154
-163
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
4
-0.94412-0.94554-0.83363
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
46.9%
53.1%
+138
-145
+142
-140
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
3
-0.53645-0.53555-0.63320
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
43.0%
57.0%
+151
-159
+152
-157
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+127
0
1
-0.50017-0.50053-0.56126
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
38.7%
61.3%
+170
-180
+177
-178
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-120
-1½+120
6
10
-0.45497-0.44713-0.48985
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.8%
71.2%
+237
-255
+243
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+111
-1½-120
3
6
-0.34579-0.34229-0.33993
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
49.9%
50.1%
-117
+108
-117
+113
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-154
7
3
-0.63747-0.62633-0.69509
Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants
34.0%
66.0%
+158
-167
+156
-166
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+127
11
5
-0.96077-0.95459-1.07860
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
48.2%
51.8%
+145
-149
+142
-150
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
10
-0.52003-0.52396-0.65811
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
59.0%
41.0%
-138
+132
-140
+132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
3
7
-0.85238-0.85583-0.89109
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
35.6%
64.4%
+168
-174
+168
-167
+1½-120
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+115
5
7
-0.46221-0.46785-0.43962
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
64.5%
35.5%
-188
+182
-194
+178
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+111
6
4
-0.43388-0.43512-0.43785
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
50.4%
49.6%
-119
+109
-115
+109
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+137
+1½-145
6
5
-0.63156-0.63898-0.68609
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
32.3%
67.7%
+210
-215
+205
-210
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+100
2
0
-1.13650-1.12043-1.12887
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.