MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 30, 2025
Games for Jan 1, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
38.8%
61.2%
+116
-125
+117
-123
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
5
4
-0.78847-0.78704-0.94667
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
64.2%
35.8%
-177
+167
-175
+172
-1½-119
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
12
3
-0.46129-0.45599-0.44387
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
47.1%
52.9%
+118
-123
+120
-122
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
6
2
-0.78955-0.79255-0.75209
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
42.9%
57.1%
+164
-173
+162
-172
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-135
-1½+130
2
5
-0.46860-0.47225-0.55986
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
43.4%
56.6%
+163
-173
+161
-164
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
7
13
-0.47002-0.48043-0.56847
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
34.3%
65.7%
+240
-257
+235
-260
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-134
5
4
-1.23767-1.22946-1.07008
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
59.1%
40.9%
-135
+125
-132
+132
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
2
3
-0.82968-0.84158-0.89402
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.1%
38.9%
-160
+150
-158
+152
-1½-104
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
5
-0.93156-0.93344-0.94502
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
37.0%
63.0%
+146
-152
+143
-152
+1½-145
-1½+129
+1½-145
-1½+130
9
7
-0.90979-0.90249-0.99347
Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers
50.5%
49.5%
+107
-114
+109
-114
+1½-190
-1½+168

3
2
-0.74322-0.74828-0.68316
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
48.1%
51.9%
+132
-141
+131
-138
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+152
2
3
-0.55199-0.55767-0.65547
Toronto Blue Jays
Houston Astros
50.1%
49.9%
-122
+113
-117
+115
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
2
-0.61750-0.62200-0.69105
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
53.7%
46.3%
+103
-110
+103
-108


5
0
-0.72433-0.71980-0.62206
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
39.3%
60.7%
+135
-142
+140
-141
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
0
-0.86664-0.87719-0.93484
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
50.3%
49.7%
+133
-143
+133
-140
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
9
-0.54771-0.55144-0.69921
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
45.9%
54.1%
+131
-139
+130
-138
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
3
-0.85163-0.84742-0.77844
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.