MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Washington Nationals
64.0%
36.0%
-131
+122
-127
+125
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
7
1
-0.58462-0.58467-0.44643
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
49.4%
50.6%
-118
+109
-118
+112
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+136
+1½-150
4
2
-0.63337-0.62672-0.70593
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
40.0%
60.0%
+117
-124
+118
-122
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
6
-0.78902-0.78755-0.91707
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
48.5%
51.5%
+152
-155
+149
-156
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
3
-0.92889-0.92321-0.72352
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
48.6%
51.4%
+117
-126
+119
-124
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
5
-0.60245-0.60150-0.66561
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
42.2%
57.8%
+117
-127
+122
-128
+1½-165
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.79483-0.80930-0.86311
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
44.5%
55.5%
+120
-128
+124
-128
+1½-168
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+165
4
6
-0.59314-0.58512-0.58843
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
53.3%
46.7%
-135
+131
-140
+133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
1
0
-0.56165-0.55144-0.62882
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
54.3%
45.7%
-108
-101
-108
+100
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
2
-0.67690-0.67446-0.61035
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
58.1%
41.9%
-161
+155
-163
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
0
3
-0.94508-0.94794-0.87008
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
55.5%
44.5%
-143
+134
-144
+135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
3
6
-0.86586-0.86998-0.80885
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
47.1%
52.9%
+121
-128
+122
-128
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
2
6
-0.59111-0.58909-0.63711
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
39.1%
60.9%
+142
-143
+143
-149
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+131
2
4
-0.53191-0.52337-0.49659
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
55.7%
44.3%
-121
+111
-117
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
0
2
-0.76791-0.77473-0.81412
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
53.0%
47.0%
-115
+112
-117
+112
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-147
6
1
-0.63228-0.62854-0.63533
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
52.6%
47.4%
-117
+112
-118
+110
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
2
-0.62854-0.63113-0.64325
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.