MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.9%
69.1%
+247
-265
+245
-262
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
-1½-132
3
9
-0.33427-0.33683-0.36967
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies
39.3%
60.7%
+115
-124
+118
-121
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
2
-0.78397-0.78553-0.93326
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
53.1%
46.9%
+123
-133
+125
-132
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
3
-0.57975-0.57725-0.75707
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
49.8%
50.2%
+124
-130
+123
-130
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
2
-0.81805-0.81556-0.69770
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
52.1%
47.9%
-105
-101
-105
+103
+1½-210
-1½+195
+1½-200
-1½+197
1
12
-0.70275-0.71284-0.73622
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
56.0%
44.0%
-143
+138
-140
+138
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
10
-0.87570-0.87060-0.81987
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
46.4%
53.6%
+109
-115
+109
-115
+1½-192
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
4
-0.63898-0.63898-0.62392
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.1%
50.9%
+113
-123
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
9
-0.61582-0.60613-0.67517
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
48.2%
51.8%
+129
-135
+129
-133
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
5
-0.56539-0.56815-0.65842
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
45.8%
54.2%
-115
+105
-114
+108
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
1
-0.64814-0.64318-0.78161
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
40.5%
59.5%
+192
-205
+195
-208
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
6
3
-1.08607-1.09602-0.90496
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
47.2%
52.8%
+106
-112
+106
-113
+1½-185
-1½+170

4
6
-0.65174-0.64972-0.63940
Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles
61.9%
38.1%
-165
+155
-168
+160
-1½-105
+1½-106
-1½-105
+1½-110
4
2
-0.48848-0.47844-0.47942
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
46.4%
53.6%
+151
-161
+152
-162
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
6
4
-0.93542-0.93928-0.76757
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
41.3%
58.7%
+173
-180
+170
-182
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
2
-1.01341-1.00890-0.88486
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
44.1%
55.9%
+103
-106
+105
-115
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
1
2
-0.67158-0.64814-0.58114
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.