MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
48.4%
51.6%
-110
+101
-107
+100

+1½-210
-1½+190
10
7
-0.66771-0.67666-0.72588
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
48.3%
51.7%
+128
-134
+130
-137
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
3
-0.83536-0.84567-0.72714
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.9%
43.1%
-152
+143
-152
+145
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
10
5
-0.52014-0.51683-0.56467
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
61.6%
38.4%
-109
+100
-105
+102
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-160
4
1
-0.67229-0.67627-0.48433
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
40.3%
59.7%
+101
-109
+102
-104
+1½-185
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+186
2
3
-0.66984-0.67857-0.51579
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
62.9%
37.1%
-200
+188
-201
+193
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-135
+1½+128
4
9
-1.07160-1.08403-0.99139
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
66.1%
33.9%
-130
+120
-127
+122
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-150
5
4
-0.59012-0.59064-0.41353
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
36.2%
63.8%
+196
-215
+200
-210
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
9
4
-1.10537-1.10933-1.01567
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.9%
53.1%
+125
-134
+130
-138
+1½-156
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+140
4
10
-0.57442-0.55953-0.63314
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
48.8%
51.2%
+105
-113
+107
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+167
17
3
-0.73601-0.73443-0.71701
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
31.8%
68.2%
+185
-195
+185
-192
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-108
12
6
-1.05915-1.05570-1.14504
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
38.3%
61.7%
+158
-167
+155
-164
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
6
3
-0.96077-0.94936-0.95915
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
64.9%
35.1%
-133
+125
-136
+129
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
2
4
-0.82608-0.84142-1.04677
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
52.6%
47.4%
-127
+119
-124
+118
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+129
+1½-140
10
1
-0.59673-0.60358-0.64323
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
33.8%
66.2%
+161
-170
+165
-178
+1½-120
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
8
-0.47531-0.46334-0.41258
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
39.6%
60.4%
+201
-215
+198
-215
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
1
-1.11660-1.10988-0.92639
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.