MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
56.7%
43.3%
+112
-120
+114
-115
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-178
-1½+170
13
6
-0.76841-0.76297-0.56743
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
37.6%
62.4%
+177
-180
+170
-180
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
6
7
-0.44569-0.45497-0.47125
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
33.4%
66.6%
+150
-158
+151
-155
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
8
10
-0.50269-0.50408-0.40633
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
63.3%
36.7%
-156
+147
-153
+150
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+103
+1½-110
7
3
-0.50946-0.50768-0.45795
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
37.6%
62.4%
+132
-141
+134
-140
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
6
-0.55199-0.54962-0.47159
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
49.7%
50.3%
+108
-116
+111
-117
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
1
-0.75001-0.75971-0.69959
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
64.4%
35.6%
-198
+188
-205
+193
-1½-141
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+128
5
3
-0.42041-0.41065-0.44077
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
39.3%
60.7%
+175
-185
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
2
-0.44482-0.44482-0.49992
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
40.4%
59.6%
+180
-186
+178
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
9
-0.43770-0.43764-0.51822
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
55.9%
44.1%
-133
+125
-133
+133
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
4
5
-0.82608-0.84588-0.81955
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
43.2%
56.8%
+161
-167
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
5
6
-0.47783-0.47678-0.56528
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.6%
39.4%
-131
+124
-134
+129
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
4
-0.81991-0.83785-0.93146
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
53.2%
46.8%
+110
-117
+112
-117
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
3
1
-0.75717-0.76222-0.63102
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
61.3%
38.7%
-116
+108
-115
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-150
5
1
-0.63934-0.63673-0.48884
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
42.5%
57.5%
+160
-170
+163
-171
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+114
6
3
-0.96964-0.97814-0.85552
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.4%
62.6%
+143
-149
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+133
0
9
-0.52337-0.51896-0.46823
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.