MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
49.0%
51.0%
+131
-138
+132
-138
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+148
14
6
-0.84989-0.85238-0.71249
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
43.3%
56.7%
+143
-152
+147
-150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+145
1
2
-0.52014-0.51567-0.56741
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
44.3%
55.7%
-105
-105
+100
-104
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
4
9
-0.69315-0.68349-0.58580
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
44.1%
55.9%
+150
-159
+148
-155
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
0
5
-0.50173-0.50886-0.58152
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
47.8%
52.2%
+118
-127
+125
-127
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+163
1
6
-0.59878-0.58467-0.64980
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+210
-228
+205
-225
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
1
3
-0.38122-0.38769-0.41541
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
52.8%
47.2%
-129
+124
-128
+125
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
2
6
-0.81617-0.81676-0.75152
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
41.6%
58.4%
+154
-162
+156
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
5
-0.49269-0.49631-0.53828
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
35.2%
64.8%
+154
-158
+148
-152
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-139
-1½+121
3
2
-0.93826-0.91462-1.04316
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+150
-160
+154
-155
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-134
-1½+120
6
7
-0.50078-0.49937-0.48955
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
46.3%
53.7%
-108
-102
-107
+105
-1½+136
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
3
-0.67930-0.66458-0.77104
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
37.2%
62.8%
+228
-255
+225
-234
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-124
5
2
-1.21076-1.18692-0.98755
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
40.7%
59.3%
+154
-164
+157
-164
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+121
7
3
-0.94696-0.95415-0.89823
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.4%
48.6%
+101
-111
+100
-108
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-175
4
5
-0.66563-0.67446-0.72081
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
48.5%
51.5%
-108
-102
-110
+102
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-162
4
5
-0.70719-0.72177-0.66427
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.0%
66.0%
+241
-270
+245
-260
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-138
3
10
-0.33781-0.33743-0.41621
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.