MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
56.9%
43.1%
-121
+112
-120
+113
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+144
+1½-155
1
3
-0.77044-0.77096-0.84093
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
57.9%
42.1%
-150
+141
-145
+144
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-110
5
3
-0.52565-0.52619-0.54716
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
39.4%
60.6%
+142
-152
+147
-147
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
2
-0.90002-0.90421-0.93245
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.9%
67.1%
+237
-260
+230
-256
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+126
-1½-130
1
10
-0.34421-0.35164-0.39930
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
43.6%
56.4%
+123
-129
+120
-128
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+160
12
2
-0.81369-0.80428-0.83087
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
41.3%
58.7%
+148
-157
+150
-157
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+126
2
1
-0.92226-0.92712-0.88440
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.0%
59.0%
+195
-212
+200
-210
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-109
6
8
-0.40471-0.40015-0.52718
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
40.3%
59.7%
+187
-197
+180
-190
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-110
-1½+107
0
3
-0.42219-0.43510-0.51602
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.0%
43.0%
-113
+103
-110
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
7
-0.65676-0.65817-0.56193
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
36.0%
64.0%
+188
-202
+183
-195
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
3
4
-0.41812-0.42825-0.44638
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
45.0%
55.0%
+124
-134
+125
-132
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+150
8
6
-0.82538-0.82426-0.79746
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
29.8%
70.2%
+237
-265
+240
-255
+1½+117
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-131
1
8
-0.34267-0.34321-0.35412
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
52.9%
47.1%
-110
+100
-108
+104
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-152
6
11
-0.71668-0.72233-0.75305
Cleveland Guardians
Texas Rangers
51.8%
48.2%
-114
+105
-110
+109
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+141
+1½-150
9
6
-0.65009-0.64890-0.65815
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
42.2%
57.8%
+106
-115
+108
-112
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
3
-0.74282-0.74139-0.86299
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
55.9%
44.1%
-112
+103
-108
+104
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-173
5
0
-0.65878-0.66479-0.58243
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.