MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Colorado Rockies
43.0%
57.0%
+150
-159
+152
-156
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
5
4
-0.93009-0.93044-0.84418
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.5%
42.5%
-139
+131
-138
+135
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-119
8
7
-0.55638-0.55036-0.55396
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
39.7%
60.3%
+161
-171
+161
-165
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-126
-1½+125
1
13
-0.47449-0.47955-0.50577
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
44.1%
55.9%
+163
-172
+162
-169
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+120
3
8
-0.47082-0.47470-0.58205
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
49.2%
50.8%
-103
-106
+100
+100
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+172
6
3
-0.70019-0.69315-0.70893
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
42.7%
57.3%
+116
-125
+117
-122
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
4
3
-0.78847-0.78504-0.84999
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
64.5%
35.5%
-275
+245
-270
+250
-1½-170
+1½+150
-1½-164
+1½+155
3
0
-0.33308-0.33041-0.43889
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
43.0%
57.0%
+120
-130
+122
-126
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+147
5
1
-0.80802-0.80544-0.84348
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
52.0%
48.0%
-112
+102
-111
+102
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
3
4
-0.72619-0.72400-0.73407
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
63.4%
36.6%
-163
+153
-159
+154
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-105
6
2
-0.49333-0.49549-0.45621
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-142
+134
-141
+137
-1½-102
+1½-115
-1½+103
+1½-115
4
2
-0.54714-0.54302-0.61583
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
64.3%
35.7%
-167
+157
-166
+160
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+100
5
2
-0.48373-0.48015-0.44096
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
39.9%
60.1%
+144
-152
+145
-150
+1½-140
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+131
4
8
-0.51849-0.51896-0.50973
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
30.9%
69.1%
+239
-260
+245
-255
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+125
-1½-125
2
3
-0.34249-0.33899-0.36892
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
56.7%
43.3%
-144
+135
-145
+140
-1½+104
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-110
5
2
-0.54294-0.53299-0.56782
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
37.0%
63.0%
+166
-176
+165
-174
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+108
2
9
-0.46345-0.46639-0.46278
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.