MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Atlanta Braves
41.9%
58.1%
+140
-149
+140
-147
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
4
-0.89040-0.88719-0.86955
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
41.8%
58.2%
+158
-168
+160
-170
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
7
6
-0.96215-0.96964-0.87235
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
46.0%
54.0%
+128
-137
+130
-136
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+140
2
0
-0.84070-0.84390-0.77614
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
67.9%
32.1%
-335
+301
-330
+292
-1½-210
+1½+185
-1½-200
+1½+192
7
2
-0.28052-0.28699-0.38784
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
44.3%
55.7%
+132
-141
+134
-142
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-156
-1½+145
2
8
-0.55199-0.54714-0.58580
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
37.6%
62.4%
+175
-185
+175
-188
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+102
6
3
-1.02427-1.02786-0.97864
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
64.8%
35.2%
-205
+189
-207
+193
-1½-135
+1½+119
-1½-130
+1½+117
0
1
-1.07925-1.09044-1.04441
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.8%
37.2%
-157
+150
-154
+152
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+110
+1½-110
5
6
-0.92712-0.92738-0.99013
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
48.0%
52.0%
+110
-120
+112
-117
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
1
-0.76336-0.76222-0.73455
Boston Red Sox
Seattle Mariners
52.7%
47.3%
-123
+116
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-145
4
5
-0.78454-0.75927-0.74784
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.6%
68.4%
+258
-290
+260
-285
+1½+130
-1½-142
+1½+135
-1½-135
1
5
-0.31893-0.31864-0.37968
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
44.7%
55.3%
-103
-101
-105
-101
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-200
-1½+190
1
9
-0.69802-0.70275-0.59214
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
60.1%
39.9%
-180
+170
-173
+165
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-111
+1½+105
15
1
-0.45497-0.46718-0.50974
St. Louis Cardinals
New York Mets
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-102
-103
-103
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
7
0
-0.68605-0.69315-0.72223
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
41.9%
58.1%
+126
-130
+129
-130
+1½-160
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
8
-0.57821-0.57244-0.54371
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
50.3%
49.7%
-106
-101
-108
+100
+1½-220
-1½+190

3
0
-0.68136-0.67446-0.68796
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.