MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Seattle Mariners
40.5%
59.5%
+158
-165
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+112
7
3
-0.95797-0.96964-0.90500
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.8%
63.2%
+192
-210
+197
-210
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
5
-0.40916-0.40348-0.45959
New York Yankees
New York Mets
49.3%
50.7%
-114
+104
-111
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-150
8
7
-0.65243-0.65610-0.70654
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.1%
38.9%
-183
+173
-190
+185
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
11
2
-0.44882-0.42889-0.49343
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
36.9%
63.1%
+225
-250
+233
-242
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-118
6
4
-1.20041-1.21083-0.99747
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
51.5%
48.5%
-112
+103
-112
+104
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
4
6
-0.72873-0.73126-0.72392
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
41.9%
58.1%
+127
-135
+130
-138
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-146
-1½+135
2
9
-0.56920-0.55953-0.54300
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
46.6%
53.4%
+160
-170
+162
-168
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+112
9
8
-0.96964-0.97170-0.76329
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
33.7%
66.3%
+210
-230
+213
-235
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-123
4
2
-1.15078-1.16181-1.08782
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+126
-127
+123
-1½+111
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-135
7
10
-0.83218-0.80986-0.75617
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
58.3%
41.7%
-190
+180
-188
+177
-1½-120
+1½+103
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
0
-0.43510-0.44021-0.54027
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
59.4%
40.6%
-148
+141
-147
+144
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+101
+1½-119
7
2
-0.52787-0.52393-0.52069
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
38.3%
61.7%
+200
-210
+197
-215
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-113
-1½+100
1
6
-0.40015-0.40099-0.48349
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
63.8%
36.2%
-242
+222
-236
+227
-1½-150
+1½+133
-1½-140
+1½+130
11
10
-0.36387-0.36144-0.44957
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
38.2%
61.8%
+182
-195
+190
-192
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½+100
8
6
-1.05225-1.06706-0.96233
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
68.9%
31.1%
-205
+195
-200
+196
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-137
+1½+130
15
4
-0.40836-0.40996-0.37288
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.