MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
41.0%
59.0%
+213
-230
+210
-216
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-103
5
1
-1.15734-1.13750-0.89133
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
53.3%
46.7%
-120
+113
-120
+112
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
3
7
-0.77096-0.76841-0.76177
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
55.0%
45.0%
-168
+158
-168
+162
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+100
+1½-110
9
4
-0.48138-0.47552-0.59698
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.6%
49.4%
+101
-110
+100
-109
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+182
2
3
-0.66771-0.67229-0.70552
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
44.9%
55.1%
+121
-126
+121
-123
+1½-150
-1½+139
+1½-145
-1½+140
3
0
-0.80294-0.79704-0.80089
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
40.2%
59.8%
+128
-137
+122
-128
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
0
-0.84070-0.80930-0.91086
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
41.4%
58.6%
+195
-213
+199
-210
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
11
-0.40422-0.40127-0.53440
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
51.4%
48.6%
-124
+115
-120
+115
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+137
+1½-140
5
2
-0.60989-0.61667-0.66563
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
67.5%
32.5%
-215
+200
-210
+198
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
5
1
-0.39768-0.40237-0.39304
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
61.7%
38.3%
-145
+136
-144
+138
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
10
5
-0.53996-0.53763-0.48308
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
59.8%
40.2%
-155
+147
-150
+146
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-110
3
4
-0.91684-0.90666-0.91188
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
44.3%
55.7%
+121
-130
+123
-126
+1½-170
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+168
12
0
-0.81054-0.80793-0.81317
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
-132
+122
-123
+124
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+127
+1½-135
3
6
-0.81674-0.80448-0.79680
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
43.4%
56.6%
+127
-137
+130
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+139
11
10
-0.83820-0.84211-0.83462
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
53.4%
46.6%
-113
+103
-110
+112

-1½+150
+1½-148
3
2
-0.65676-0.64213-0.62661
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
48.3%
51.7%
+126
-133
+129
-136
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
8
0
-0.82858-0.84142-0.72716
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.