MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
43.2%
56.8%
+160
-170
+155
-164
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-147
-1½+135
2
12
-0.47678-0.48937-0.56630
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
57.5%
42.5%
-128
+119
-126
+122
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+126
+1½-140
0
1
-0.80176-0.80544-0.85543
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.6%
37.4%
-205
+195
-200
+193
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
3
8
-1.09285-1.08294-0.98398
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
55.3%
44.7%
-137
+127
-132
+130
-1½+114
+1½-125
-1½+121
+1½-135
9
5
-0.56650-0.56768-0.59261
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
39.3%
60.7%
+109
-118
+114
-121
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
4
-0.75673-0.77551-0.93471
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
53.2%
46.8%
-155
+146
-150
+150
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
0
4
-0.91442-0.91629-0.75886
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.6%
61.4%
+175
-185
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-120
-1½+120
2
3
-0.44482-0.44482-0.48721
Milwaukee Brewers
San Francisco Giants
53.3%
46.7%
-125
+116
-122
+118
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
6
2
-0.60613-0.60690-0.62914
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.2%
44.8%
-163
+153
-154
+151
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
3
0
-0.49333-0.50508-0.59379
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
56.0%
44.0%
-194
+185
-183
+175
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
4
6
-1.05800-1.02182-0.82041
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
41.5%
58.5%
+142
-152
+142
-145
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
3
1
-0.90002-0.88882-0.88066
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago White Sox
31.7%
68.3%
+301
-340
+300
-320
+1½+146
-1½-165
+1½+145
-1½-152
2
4
-0.27970-0.28377-0.38174
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
52.4%
47.6%
+106
-114
+106
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
7
2
-0.74068-0.73191-0.64621
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
53.0%
47.0%
-122
+113
-128
+120
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-138
3
4
-0.77499-0.80428-0.75447
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
47.3%
52.7%
+151
-159
+146
-154
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+130
5
8
-0.50017-0.51309-0.63964
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
55.9%
44.1%
-111
+103
-110
+102
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+139
+1½-150
9
3
-0.66083-0.66532-0.58146
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.