MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
-144
+134
-142
+134
-1½+133
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-145
13
10
-0.54473-0.54714-0.58488
Colorado Rockies
Chicago Cubs
48.7%
51.3%
-133
+124
-132
+125
-1½+127
+1½-147
-1½+135
+1½-146
2
5
-0.82357-0.82426-0.66709
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
35.4%
64.6%
+225
-252
+235
-242
+1½+120
-1½-133
+1½+120
-1½-122
5
6
-0.35753-0.35197-0.43717
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
44.8%
55.2%
+113
-123
+110
-117
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+167
2
3
-0.61582-0.63297-0.59435
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
52.7%
47.3%
-134
+130
-138
+136
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+118
+1½-125
5
2
-0.56488-0.54858-0.64004
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
37.7%
62.3%
+225
-251
+227
-248
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-122
0
4
-0.35786-0.35706-0.47273
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
40.4%
59.6%
+184
-201
+185
-194
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+110
4
7
-0.42350-0.42641-0.51681
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
39.7%
60.3%
+209
-231
+215
-218
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-105
4
3
-1.14945-1.15040-0.92410
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
45.2%
54.8%
+125
-135
+128
-135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
4
-0.82968-0.83716-0.79427
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
40.7%
59.3%
+156
-169
+155
-165
+1½-129
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
7
3
-0.95870-0.95078-0.90012
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
39.9%
60.1%
+201
-220
+198
-215
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-122
9
11
-0.39423-0.39988-0.50931
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
53.9%
46.1%
+100
-110
+102
-110
-1½+156
+1½-175

5
1
-0.71668-0.72177-0.61787
San Francisco Giants
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+115
-125
+115
-116
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
8
0
-0.78592-0.76761-0.67211
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.0%
55.0%
+115
-125
+117
-125
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+158
5
2
-0.78592-0.79098-0.79855
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies
52.4%
47.6%
-117
+107
-112
+108
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+150
+1½-155
3
1
-0.63974-0.64712-0.64586
Los Angeles Angels
Baltimore Orioles
57.0%
43.0%
-125
+115
-122
+118
-1½+119
+1½-130
-1½+124
+1½-135
14
8
-0.60825-0.60690-0.56173
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.