MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays
31.7%
68.3%
+237
-265
+235
-260
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+140
-1½-140
4
1
-1.23743-1.22946-1.14895
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
67.1%
32.9%
-245
+230
-240
+220
-1½-175
+1½+160
-1½-160
+1½+155
3
0
-0.35538-0.36652-0.39931
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
34.7%
65.3%
+225
-250
+220
-230
+1½+125
-1½-141
+1½+122
-1½-130
2
10
-0.35820-0.37044-0.42587
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.2%
54.8%
-107
-102
-102
-105
-1½+150
+1½-168

6
2
-0.68152-0.70029-0.79374
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.9%
58.1%
+179
-194
+181
-195
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
1
4
-0.43385-0.43072-0.54364
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
61.2%
38.8%
-195
+179
-190
+180
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
4
8
-1.04529-1.04185-0.94778
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
40.3%
59.7%
+266
-300
+271
-290
+1½+135
-1½-153
+1½+131
-1½-150
1
6
-0.31064-0.30931-0.51572
Minnesota Twins
New York Yankees
37.4%
62.6%
+220
-230
+210
-230
+1½+130
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-138
5
7
-0.37044-0.38037-0.46797
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.9%
37.1%
-199
+183
-195
+183
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
2
6
-1.05901-1.05455-0.99239
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
57.6%
42.4%
-165
+155
-163
+155
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
6
3
-0.48848-0.49027-0.55250
Oakland Athletics
Chicago White Sox
45.6%
54.4%
+138
-148
+142
-146
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
5
4
-0.88390-0.89048-0.78434
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
53.4%
46.6%
-133
+123
-129
+124
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
9
8
-0.57975-0.58361-0.62695
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
31.2%
68.8%
+294
-333
+310
-340
+1½+165
-1½-178
+1½+170
-1½-170
2
7
-0.28521-0.27432-0.37373
Los Angeles Angels
Detroit Tigers
52.1%
47.9%
-111
+101
-105
+100
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
13
10
-0.66563-0.68116-0.65114
Pittsburgh Pirates
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.1%
69.9%
+268
-303
+265
-290
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-148
0
9
-0.30852-0.31367-0.35846
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
57.3%
42.7%
-169
+156
-168
+159
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-109
+1½-105
2
4
-0.95870-0.96454-0.85111
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.