MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
44.2%
55.8%
+108
-118
+108
-113
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
10
14
-0.63563-0.64512-0.58406
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
58.9%
41.1%
-166
+153
-162
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
6
5
-0.49065-0.49117-0.52901
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
44.0%
56.0%
+151
-164
+156
-158
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
6
1
-0.93971-0.94302-0.82023
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
44.0%
56.0%
+175
-191
+181
-190
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+112
0
7
-0.44085-0.43383-0.57943
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
66.6%
33.4%
-250
+225
-240
+225
-1½-150
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+136
3
12
-1.20041-1.19214-1.09611
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
54.1%
45.9%
-130
+121
-129
+126
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
3
6
-0.81054-0.82114-0.77773
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
47.2%
52.8%
+160
-172
+165
-171
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+112
8
9
-0.47514-0.46877-0.63925
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
42.5%
57.5%
+147
-157
+146
-150
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+120
12
3
-0.91985-0.90666-0.85541
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
38.3%
61.7%
+195
-214
+197
-215
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-110
1
3
-0.40372-0.40099-0.48285
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
45.7%
54.3%
+104
-114
+108
-114
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
8
1
-0.73560-0.74575-0.78246
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
40.7%
59.3%
+136
-146
+138
-144
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
6
4
-0.87575-0.87738-0.89902
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.6%
56.4%
+148
-161
+147
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+141
4
5
-0.50301-0.51046-0.57259
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
59.6%
40.4%
-219
+199
-210
+200
-1½-137
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
17
4
-0.39687-0.40015-0.51793
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Guardians
59.2%
40.8%
-172
+158
-167
+161
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-113
+1½+105
17
0
-0.47807-0.47783-0.52415
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
56.9%
43.1%
-133
+123
-128
+126
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
1
2
-0.82107-0.81923-0.84137
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.2%
48.8%
-131
+121
-128
+127
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+122
+1½-140
7
6
-0.58663-0.57925-0.66953
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.