MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
43.1%
56.9%
+173
-187
+170
-185
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
0
1
-0.44608-0.45144-0.56363
Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
56.3%
43.7%
-192
+176
-180
+176
-1½-125
+1½+106
-1½-120
+1½+110
4
0
-0.43892-0.44699-0.57412
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+173
-188
+179
-190
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
4
5
-0.44541-0.43635-0.45215
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.1%
59.9%
+190
-208
+192
-210
+1½-110
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-103
4
3
-1.08465-1.09127-0.91317
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
36.0%
64.0%
+192
-210
+201
-210
+1½-105
-1½-113
+1½+105
-1½-104
8
5
-1.09127-1.11155-1.02190
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
33.0%
67.0%
+276
-312
+265
-295
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-145
1
4
-0.30100-0.31249-0.40106
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
50.0%
50.0%
+150
-162
+152
-159
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+120
2
14
-0.49890-0.49860-0.69393
Kansas City Royals
St. Louis Cardinals
40.3%
59.7%
+167
-179
+168
-175
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
4
-0.45980-0.46143-0.51661
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
38.4%
61.6%
+181
-197
+180
-195
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
5
4
-1.05217-1.04762-0.95834
San Francisco Giants
Milwaukee Brewers
37.0%
63.0%
+133
-139
+134
-141
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
2
-0.55271-0.54837-0.46189
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
42.0%
58.0%
+183
-199
+181
-190
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
8
-0.42587-0.43383-0.54416
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
41.8%
58.2%
+123
-133
+125
-132
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
6
-0.57975-0.57725-0.54087
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
39.2%
60.8%
+164
-178
+172
-182
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+104
0
10
-0.46474-0.45086-0.49794
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.9%
54.1%
+125
-134
+133
-136
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-145
-1½+137
4
12
-0.57442-0.55661-0.61374
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
51.4%
48.6%
-142
+133
-143
+136
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½+107
+1½-115
10
6
-0.54894-0.54235-0.66473
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
39.9%
60.1%
+157
-171
+161
-168
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+108
2
3
-0.48036-0.47697-0.50953
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.