MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
52.6%
47.4%
-161
+148
-155
+150
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-128
3
6
-0.92814-0.92410-0.74551
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.5%
65.5%
+262
-295
+250
-270
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-140
7
1
-1.30930-1.26808-1.06401
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
51.8%
48.2%
-121
+111
-117
+113
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-146
7
5
-0.62358-0.62633-0.65709
Cleveland Guardians
Toronto Blue Jays
36.0%
64.0%
+226
-253
+233
-248
+1½+125
-1½-144
+1½+120
-1½-134
5
2
-1.20491-1.21584-1.02210
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
47.4%
52.6%
+143
-153
+146
-156
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
3
-0.51909-0.51108-0.64253
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.1%
38.9%
-243
+218
-236
+220
-1½-160
+1½+142
-1½-148
+1½+140
13
0
-0.36733-0.36805-0.49264
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
41.2%
58.8%
+141
-151
+151
-152
+1½-135
-1½+121
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
8
-0.52457-0.50713-0.53089
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
47.8%
52.2%
+104
-114
+106
-114
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+165
8
3
-0.73560-0.74068-0.73896
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
49.0%
51.0%
+107
-117
+109
-113
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
5
-0.63974-0.64285-0.67319
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
53.2%
46.8%
-146
+136
-142
+133
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-123
3
4
-0.87575-0.86171-0.76025
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.9%
53.1%
+148
-158
+147
-153
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+134
3
7
-0.50587-0.51251-0.63343
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
43.6%
56.4%
+152
-165
+156
-160
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+111
1
2
-0.49307-0.49151-0.57203
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+154
-167
+152
-160
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-133
-1½+125
2
1
-0.95117-0.93639-0.81778
New York Yankees
Miami Marlins
52.2%
47.8%
-158
+148
-155
+150
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-120
3
1
-0.50587-0.50566-0.64955
Baltimore Orioles
Detroit Tigers
44.0%
56.0%
+134
-144
+138
-143
+1½-145
-1½+126
+1½-145
-1½+132
2
6
-0.54473-0.53883-0.58048
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
43.3%
56.7%
+167
-182
+170
-185
+1½-120
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+105
7
1
-1.00179-1.01255-0.83702
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.