MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
56.6%
43.4%
-144
+135
-143
+139
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-118
5
3
-0.54294-0.53708-0.56957
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
38.9%
61.1%
+176
-182
+170
-184
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-114
-1½+105
6
5
-1.02290-1.01134-0.94364
Arizona Diamondbacks
Texas Rangers
46.1%
53.9%
+138
-141
+135
-136
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+145
4
5
-0.54125-0.55299-0.61730
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
44.7%
55.3%
+148
-161
+152
-160
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
7
4
-0.92814-0.93639-0.80567
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Guardians
51.4%
48.6%
-110
+108
-117
+108
-1½+130
+1½-150

4
2
-0.65120-0.63747-0.66565
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
46.8%
53.2%
+130
-129
+127
-134
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.83101-0.83287-0.75888
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
50.9%
49.1%
-144
+134
-140
+134
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
12
5
-0.54473-0.54962-0.67533
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
58.0%
42.0%
-125
+115
-121
+117
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
7
3
-0.60825-0.61068-0.54407
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.2%
46.8%
-140
+140
-147
+138
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
9
0
-0.53900-0.53415-0.63136
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
46.8%
53.2%
+112
-120
+114
-119
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+152
6
4
-0.76841-0.77141-0.75935
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
60.8%
39.2%
-166
+153
-165
+158
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-111
+1½+105
8
11
-0.94734-0.95797-0.93542
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
38.9%
61.1%
+142
-152
+143
-150
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+135
2
6
-0.52182-0.52227-0.49315
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
35.8%
64.2%
+159
-173
+161
-166
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
5
6
-0.47578-0.47868-0.44245
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
51.8%
48.2%
-117
+107
-119
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+120
+1½-136
3
4
-0.74957-0.77892-0.72884
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
45.7%
54.3%
+156
-169
+157
-167
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
1
-0.48352-0.48373-0.61089
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
49.2%
50.8%
+123
-133
+122
-130
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+152
5
6
-0.57975-0.58609-0.67800
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.