MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
55.3%
44.7%
-141
+131
-138
+134
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
1
-0.55384-0.55217-0.59263
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.8%
60.2%
+170
-185
+173
-182
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
5
3
-1.01255-1.01592-0.92153
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
50.1%
49.9%
+109
-119
+113
-119
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
2
-0.75877-0.76891-0.69021
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
46.4%
53.6%
+120
-130
+127
-127
+1½-170
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.59012-0.58077-0.62297
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians
55.0%
45.0%
-127
+120
-125
+121
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-135
5
4
-0.59470-0.59580-0.59731
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
46.2%
53.8%
+141
-148
+138
-145
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
4
5
-0.52787-0.53645-0.61988
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
59.5%
40.5%
-155
+145
-149
+145
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+115
+1½-128
3
2
-0.51371-0.52003-0.51985
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
53.5%
46.5%
-142
+132
-138
+133
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-123
7
2
-0.55076-0.55399-0.62483
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
43.9%
56.1%
+129
-139
+131
-137
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-135
-1½+135
5
7
-0.56010-0.55898-0.57803
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.4%
62.6%
+150
-160
+152
-154
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
2
-0.93156-0.92738-0.98347
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
45.8%
54.2%
+120
-130
+125
-130
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
3
-0.59012-0.58016-0.61240
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
45.4%
54.6%
+138
-148
+145
-146
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+130
7
2
-0.88390-0.89776-0.78884
Cleveland Guardians
Houston Astros
35.7%
64.3%
+228
-255
+227
-244
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+130
-1½-135
5
4
-1.21076-1.19978-1.02949
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
46.8%
53.2%
-101
-109
+107
-110
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+173
2
4
-0.67472-0.65350-0.63145
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
40.6%
59.4%
+176
-192
+181
-197
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
7
4
-1.03488-1.05217-0.90259
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
43.5%
56.5%
-106
-104
-107
+101


5
6
-0.69780-0.71245-0.57075
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.