MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays
35.5%
64.5%
+200
-220
+208
-220
+1½-102
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
0
5
-0.39531-0.38680-0.43871
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.6%
43.4%
-136
+127
-131
+128
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
+1½-132
7
6
-0.56784-0.57290-0.56902
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
45.7%
54.3%
+126
-136
+126
-130
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+147
4
9
-0.56976-0.57821-0.61030
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
68.1%
31.9%
-235
+212
-222
+225
-1½-165
+1½+148
-1½-153
+1½+150
9
2
-0.37631-0.36901-0.38356
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
39.7%
60.3%
+121
-131
+128
-126
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+156
1
3
-0.58663-0.58037-0.50506
Tampa Bay Rays
Atlanta Braves
47.4%
52.6%
+100
-110
+105
-112
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-192
-1½+180
0
9
-0.67015-0.65406-0.64179
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
48.7%
51.3%
+101
-111
+104
-108
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
10
-0.66563-0.66479-0.66742
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
54.6%
45.4%
-111
+101
-109
+104
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+146
+1½-160
1
3
-0.72144-0.72460-0.78862
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
43.8%
56.2%
+149
-159
+152
-153
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+125
8
4
-0.92766-0.92581-0.82652
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
57.7%
42.3%
-136
+126
-130
+130
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
7
4
-0.56976-0.57054-0.55029
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.6%
39.4%
-163
+150
-163
+155
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
7
9
-0.93586-0.94794-0.93222
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
56.3%
43.7%
-129
+122
-128
+120
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
10
4
-0.58758-0.59314-0.57369
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
57.9%
42.1%
-169
+156
-167
+159
-1½-112
+1½-108
-1½-103
+1½+100
4
5
-0.95870-0.96317-0.86517
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
44.6%
55.4%
+114
-124
+115
-117
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-172
-1½+165
2
4
-0.61201-0.62200-0.58996
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.9%
47.1%
-126
+116
-121
+116
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-140
4
2
-0.60453-0.61278-0.63679
Cleveland Guardians
Oakland Athletics
43.2%
56.8%
+162
-176
+165
-168
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
2
-0.98235-0.97878-0.83905
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.