MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 18, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
44.8%
55.2%
+121
-129
+123
-132
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+144
4
7
-0.58960-0.58118-0.59506
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
54.6%
45.4%
-136
+126
-134
+129
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
0
4
-0.83393-0.83785-0.79056
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
45.3%
54.7%
+105
-115
+107
-113
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
9
3
-0.74028-0.74108-0.79138
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
42.3%
57.7%
+158
-171
+165
-175
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
2
1
-0.96622-0.98819-0.86147
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
55.1%
44.9%
-157
+148
-152
+152
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+108
+1½-115
6
1
-0.50687-0.50556-0.59606
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+111
-115
+109
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+176
5
4
-0.75547-0.74828-0.63815
Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
41.8%
58.2%
+156
-169
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+117
15
5
-0.95870-0.96964-0.87263
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
40.3%
59.7%
+168
-178
+162
-168
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+124
2
5
-0.45917-0.47552-0.51663
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.8%
50.2%
-101
-105
-103
+100
+1½-195
-1½+175

4
6
-0.68363-0.70051-0.68949
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
45.9%
54.1%
+147
-157
+144
-150
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
4
-0.50846-0.52062-0.61362
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
57.5%
42.5%
-137
+127
-134
+130
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
8
-0.83820-0.84033-0.85654
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
46.7%
53.3%
+104
-113
+107
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+197
5
0
-0.73345-0.73443-0.76042
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
60.3%
39.7%
-162
+153
-160
+152
-1½-106
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-109
6
9
-0.94171-0.93639-0.92392
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
65.9%
34.1%
-187
+175
-184
+177
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+120
10
2
-0.44346-0.44290-0.41674
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
51.7%
48.3%
-126
+116
-124
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
4
5
-0.79039-0.79653-0.72701
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.4%
60.6%
+185
-202
+188
-200
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
0
4
-0.42172-0.41925-0.50022
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.